Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $344
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $46
Polymarket Trader
0x8DA68d50Ec3B6EEAa2Ca3581718c5Ff48b0E4F70-1765816194256
0x8da68d50ec3b6eeaa2ca3581718c5ff48b0e4f70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $344
- Realized PnL
- $231.89
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.3
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.47
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.6
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.65
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.54
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.15
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.8
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.49
No position
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.85
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$271.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?No 60% 85.31 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?No 55.8% 37.14 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes 85% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 4.3% 391.99 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 79.3% 111.24 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 78.2% 243.27 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 27% 62.82 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 28% 43.11 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?No 9% 9.22 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 31% 69.59 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 30% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?No 11% 57.23 shares