Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $134.06
- Potential payout
- $812.5
- Potential profit
- $678.44
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$15.94
Polymarket Trader
Shingar
0x8daad538aee2020a78e7df55ff9cad801a709e36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.32
- Realized PnL
- $311.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735.49
- Potential profit
- $735.49
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $16.62
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $253.65
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.67
- Potential profit
- $237.67
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $45.18
- Potential payout
- $196.85
- Potential profit
- $151.67
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $156.96
- Potential profit
- $156.57
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.68
- Potential profit
- $139.68
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.25
- Potential profit
- $131.25
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $25.98
- Potential payout
- $127.12
- Potential profit
- $101.14
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $121.11
- Potential profit
- $121.05
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.3
- Potential profit
- $120.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.67
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.4
- Potential profit
- $102.4
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.64
- Potential profit
- $97.64
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $54.25
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $40.09
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.54
- Potential profit
- $81.54
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.35
- Potential profit
- $78.35
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.86
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 384.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?Yes 52.2% 9.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?Yes 8.1% 12.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?No 9.8% 10.2 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 70% 14.35 shares
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.6% 156.96 shares
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.8% 121.11 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 44% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?Yes 47% 8.51 shares