Polymarket Trader

kappinator

0x8dab04347717f3765c76552fa23a4183fc8513f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.88
Realized PnL: $5.85
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $15.69
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $262.08
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $221.25
Potential profit: $220.14
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $78.86
Potential profit: $77.24
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $72.07
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $69.39
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $19.54
Potential payout: $37.22
Potential profit: $17.68
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $24.92
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $26.43
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $17.12
Potential profit: $16.62
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.49

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $26.85

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 37.22 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 14% 14.29 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

No 8% 25 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 30.67 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 31.06 shares
Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?

Yes 11.4% 8.79 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98% 36.29 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 24% 36.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Down 36% 26.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 48% 4.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 8% 11.67 shares