Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.77K
- Potential profit
- $26.77K
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Polymarket Trader
Hsalm
0x8db051a22275e7789ac20c1c04cea97508bf8df7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.99
- Realized PnL
- -$16.38
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- User PnL
- -$136.56
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $137.26
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$221.73
No position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $75.73
- Potential payout
- $162.85
- Potential profit
- $87.13
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$44.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.85
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 5% 360 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 74.7% 26.77 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 73.5% 136.08 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 17% 1,470.59 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Yes 35.2% 77.56 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Yes 44.4% 77.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 17% 641.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 6% 59.33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 6% 250 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3% 663.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3% 333.33 shares