No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- User PnL
- $372.14
Polymarket Trader
0x8DB5bfb848ee6745c475DF375bd0c983468BFA3E-1774575335053
0x8db5bfb848ee6745c475df375bd0c983468bfa3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.71K
- Realized PnL
- $9.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $123.04
- Potential payout
- $162.97
- Potential profit
- $39.93
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.45
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $36.63
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.82
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.82
No position
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.23
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.15
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.97
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.38
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 19.9% 4,310.63 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 94% 106.38 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 94% 4,204.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 91.8% 1,041.66 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 94.5% 1,315.78 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 94% 319.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 86% 639.53 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 81% 925.93 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 96.2% 1,039.5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 96.2% 1,039.62 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No 95% 1,578.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96% 1,041.67 shares