No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $16.96
- Potential payout
- $18.74
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Polymarket Trader
caldwellsara
0x8db8659818f4004178d4e76c3b1d9acfbd4de377
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.96
- Realized PnL
- $141.39
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 14?No 73% 18.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?Yes 48% 7.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 9?Yes 32% 12.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 7?No 75% 31.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?Yes 42.2% 24.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?Yes 34% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 27?Yes 40% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?No 58.7% 48.69 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on June 24?Down 34.1% 54.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?Yes 33.4% 8.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?No 63% 38.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?No 36% 35 shares