Polymarket Trader

Zortos

0x8dbae479135b8c4b93a097dca0d22d9684772ac5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $430.46
Realized PnL: $942.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $297.8
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $14.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $33.85

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $132.65
Potential payout: $304.95
Potential profit: $172.29
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$17.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.59

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.42

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.76

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.99

Yes position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.11

No position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.16

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.11

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $19.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84.6% 17.59 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 49.2% 304.95 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 93% 428.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.8% 332.97 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 99.5% 66.23 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 85% 66.24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 78% 66.31 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

No 34% 147.06 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 45% 266.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 29% 12.73 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.6% 618.99 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 19% 10 shares