Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $142.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.86K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Polymarket Trader
ChasingPaper
0x8dc7a4315b3a6230a507a3776e68cd3ceb2b116f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.14K
- Realized PnL
- $9.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $525
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.48K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.83K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $948.46
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.05K
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $373.98
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $327.02
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.67K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$92.99
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $172.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $526.73
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$84.39
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $688.01
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $299.62
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$45.59
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $153.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $199.31
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $355.56
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $91.16
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $428.69
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$97.81
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $301
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $135
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $849.98
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $60.01
Yes position
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $44.24
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$43.74
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $355.64
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$55.01
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $547.59
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $952.66
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$45.05
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $862.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $637.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $144.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $231.68
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$150.61
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$490.25
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $471.17
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $752.65
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$512.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816
Yes position
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.47
RB Leipzig position
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.7
Yes position
Solana above $185 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.91
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405
No position
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.17
No position
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.99
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $284.45
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
No position
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236
Yes position
John Daghita arrested by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.78
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.38
No position
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.12
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.58
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.08
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.27
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes 40% 500 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 60% 500 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 76% 1,315.79 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 980.39 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 1,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Yes 83% 1,000 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53% 1,000 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 1,000 shares
- Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 52% 48.77 shares
- Will Leroy Sané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 46% 179.47 shares