No position
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $886
- Potential profit
- $886
- User PnL
- -$141.25
Polymarket Trader
bsc204
0x8de1193b4e9ea878e15eea58c8805b03a5ed3f69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- $473.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $531.39
- Potential payout
- $787.24
- Potential profit
- $255.85
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $66.92
Yes position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237
- Potential profit
- $237
- User PnL
- -$205.82
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $133
- User PnL
- -$88.26
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$33.5
Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $34.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65.51
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$24.51
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$77
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $56.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $43.51
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $45.14
- Potential payout
- $61.84
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$26.4
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $22.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27.25
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $20.75
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.3%
- Current value
- $33.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- -$10.33
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.91
- Potential profit
- $49.91
- User PnL
- -$47.06
No position
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $43.08
- Potential payout
- $45.81
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $26.88
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $15.87
- Potential payout
- $29.11
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $116.71
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.42
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $11.96
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No 59% 100 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 73% 50 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 86.9% 50 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 72.1% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 59% 9.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 87.7% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 51% 100 shares
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?No 98.9% 50 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 84% 50 shares
- Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 94.3% 22.36 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 88% 100 shares