Polymarket Trader

tomatosauce2

0x8de2cebd8ec4c7ed023347d2aad27b3fe08e8483

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.48K
Realized PnL: $16.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.53K
Potential profit: $20.53K
User PnL: -$50.06

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $38.92
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $9.69K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$403.76

Yes position

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $9.34K
Potential payout: $9.45K
Potential profit: $113.41
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $403.01

No position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $7.18K
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $418.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $381.5

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $139.08

Yes position

Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 75.6%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $755.72
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$84.58

Yes position

Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$26.89

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $966.75
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $910.43
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$162.13

Iraq position

Spread: Senegal (-4.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$564.58

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $930.64
Potential payout: $933.91
Potential profit: $3.27
User PnL: $245.38

No position

World Cup: Scoreless Team?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $298.87
Potential payout: $737.95
Potential profit: $439.08
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $61.15

No position

Will Neymar score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $674.75
Potential payout: $681.57
Potential profit: $6.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $667.61
Potential payout: $671.64
Potential profit: $4.03
User PnL: $7.5

Under position

Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $357.28
Potential payout: $638
Potential profit: $280.72
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.99
Potential profit: $517.99
User PnL: -$39.32

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $310.08
Potential payout: $484.5
Potential profit: $174.42
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will there be 35+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $429.28
Potential payout: $431.44
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Neymar score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $399.22
Potential payout: $409.25
Potential profit: $10.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.37

No position

Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$307.5

Yes position

Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351
Potential profit: $351
User PnL: -$66.69

No position

Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $320.04
Potential payout: $321.65
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: $41.81

Yes position

Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.6
Potential profit: $295.6
User PnL: -$23.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

No position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

Ends Apr 16, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.25 million and $2.5 million by December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $866.3

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $635.65

No position

Will Netherlands go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $623.95

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.55

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" this week? (January 25)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $499

Yes position

Oscars Bingo

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.26

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $475.09

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.67

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $421.52

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $417.41

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $404.2

Yes position

Will NE/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.25

No position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $399.88

No position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last at least 150 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.46

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $387.09

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.52

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.98

No position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.38

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5

Under 55% 638 shares
World Cup: Scoreless Team?

No 43% 9.09 shares
World Cup: Scoreless Team?

No 40.7% 268.07 shares
Will Saudi Arabia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

No 99.9% 6 shares
Will Saudi Arabia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

No 99.7% 187.38 shares
Will Saudi Arabia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

No 98.9% 71.89 shares
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5

Over 4.8% 51.99 shares
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 98.2% 14.5 shares
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 52.8% 34.55 shares
Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 0.9% 128.22 shares
Will Panama concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 0.1% 1.99 shares
Will New Zealand concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 1% 5 shares