Polymarket Trader

OLOTH

0x8de674db0dfe57e85594a32c06b94703d2842938

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.05K
Realized PnL: $9.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $209.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $38.95

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$8.96

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $322.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $677.5
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: $160.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $966.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $159.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $840.5
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $49.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $187.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $812.5
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $59.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $940.5
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $971.5
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $200.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $799.49
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $115.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $977.04
Potential payout: $979.98
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $809.14
Potential payout: $816.9
Potential profit: $7.76
User PnL: $3.31

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.99
Potential profit: $544.99
User PnL: -$535.18

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $466.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $237.84
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $2.16
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $162.11
Potential payout: $166.01
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $57.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $43.02
Potential payout: $43.5
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $12.32
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.21

No position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.95

Yes position

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $642.76

Yes position

Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.63

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.48

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.18

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.09

Jannik Sinner position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.66

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.75

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.65

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.53

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.5

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.21

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.68

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.46

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.71

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.3

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Francesco Maestrelli vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.97

No position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

No position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.02

No position

Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?

No 98.9% 747.9 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.6% 1,186.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 7?

No 99.9% 250 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 98% 222 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Jannik Sinner 97.7% 200 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

No 96.6% 222 shares
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 96.9% 15 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 98.8% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?

Yes 99.9% 10 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby

Jannik Sinner 97.6% 333 shares
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 98.5% 240 shares
Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?

No 99.7% 1,111 shares