Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.8K
- Potential profit
- $28.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Polymarket Trader
492LdDfWP1
0x8df306b761d8e4f95ffa21a2d5d36fd330fe887a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $406.62K
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$100.03
Yes position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.59
- Potential profit
- $316.59
- User PnL
- -$31.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.23K
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$460.13
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$965.7
Yes position
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.08K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.62K
Dan position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 10% 316.59 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 0.9% 3,766.96 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 26.5% 3,766.97 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?Yes 4.1% 28,802.7 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No 8% 1,250.38 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 97.9% 300,000 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 98.5% 200,000 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 98.6% 237,421.13 shares
- Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Dan 22.9% 44,166.26 shares
- Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Dan 20.3% 63,894.25 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 54.1% 184,847.05 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes 41% 4,801.27 shares