No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $105K
- Potential payout
- $120K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $11.65K
Polymarket Trader
End123
0x8df73e2962d0184ea1f71621784d46ca6b5936c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $298.06K
- Realized PnL
- $38.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $72.16K
- Potential payout
- $78.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $745.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $27.95K
- Potential payout
- $28.1K
- Potential profit
- $154.56
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $21.64K
- Potential payout
- $22.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $11.87K
- Potential payout
- $11.97K
- Potential profit
- $101.74
- User PnL
- $736.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $10.08K
- Potential payout
- $10.39K
- Potential profit
- $316.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $289.97
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $8.28K
- Potential profit
- $786.88
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $704.06
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $4.28K
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$559.18
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.41K
- Potential payout
- $5.97K
- Potential profit
- $567.39
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $678.49
Judge position
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $892.49
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.31K
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$601.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $128.19
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $4.75K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $199.99
No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $329.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $653.54
Yes position
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $160.75
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$169.56
Yes position
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $616.94
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$50.33
No position
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $416.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $15.44
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $243.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.31
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $14.46
- User PnL
- $379.41
No position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $423.82
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$103.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$246.59
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $329
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$171
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $49.65
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$983.11
Yes position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $229.36
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $76.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
New York Mets position
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
49ers position
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
New York Mets position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.02
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.35
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.05
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.85
Chiefs position
Ravens vs. Chiefs
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.51
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?Yes 20.7% 113.66 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?Yes 20.8% 554.56 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes 91% 2,862.42 shares
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ shotsYes 69.9% 143.06 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?No 47% 888 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Yes 12% 0.32 shares
- Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?Yes 72% 184.44 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?Yes 34% 103 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Yes 5% 552.26 shares
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons 15% 180.39 shares
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?No 78% 81.73 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes 91.9% 756.93 shares