Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $107.24K
- Potential payout
- $288.66K
- Potential profit
- $181.42K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$37.09K
Polymarket Trader
0x1cDfEACf57b7591c1bc223a8147b3b022E9F1dB
0x8e020dd0e073debf50450aa5808126b52e018e77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $414.83K
- Realized PnL
- $7.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.8%
- Current value
- $181.39K
- Potential payout
- $288.66K
- Potential profit
- $107.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $37.06K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $67.97K
- Potential payout
- $75.11K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.32K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $29.92K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $765
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $28.31K
- Potential payout
- $28.41K
- Potential profit
- $99.43
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 93% 2,501.17 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 94% 10,906.47 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 86% 1,519.63 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 3,587.08 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 95.5% 3,103.36 shares