Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $16.51
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Polymarket Trader
0x8e04...eac0
0x8e04c875d96cf9e53576878350b1e0cb3f66eac0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.69
- Realized PnL
- $0.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $26.01
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 3.2% 32 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 65% 22 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 35% 23 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.6% 27 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 79.5% 14 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 64.9% 31 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 20.5% 6 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 30% 5 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 36% 5 shares