Polymarket Trader

metamaskv

0x8e13f7996b7060cb7c246dedc04023af7bd91c2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $202.79
Realized PnL: $562.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $48.31
Potential payout: $333.14
Potential profit: $284.83
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$62.69

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.67
Potential profit: $238.67
User PnL: -$179

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $12.54
Potential payout: $225.87
Potential profit: $213.34
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$14.46

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $205.88
Potential profit: $205.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$31

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.84
Potential profit: $196.84
User PnL: -$169.29

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.53
Potential profit: $139.53
User PnL: -$60

FlyQuest position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $127.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.69
Potential profit: $125.69
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $125.25
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.21
Potential profit: $123.21
User PnL: -$27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $117.8
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17.8

Yes position

Will Solana reach $120 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.45
Potential profit: $118.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$22

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.55
Potential profit: $108.55
User PnL: -$45.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.2
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.27
Potential profit: $77.27
User PnL: -$17

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.15
Potential profit: $64.15
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.9
Potential profit: $50.9
User PnL: -$31.56

Yes position

Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.09

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.93

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.26

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.76

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 8% 125.25 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 12% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 119.05 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 84% 119.05 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?

Yes 20% 110 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 27% 262.96 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

No 97.1% 195.6 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 57% 70.18 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Gen.G 86% 196.84 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 25% 200 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$60k 69% 66.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

Down 62% 50.9 shares