No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $477.85
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $205.23
Polymarket Trader
ValueBet
0x8e145f275d2cd6bef41a9b731b6cf817aa9188b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- -$153.07
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $14.46
- Potential payout
- $516.5
- Potential profit
- $502.04
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $418.32
- Potential profit
- $376.07
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- -$37.51
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $303.79
- Potential payout
- $368.23
- Potential profit
- $64.44
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $16.57
No position
Will Solana dip to $130 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.2
- Potential profit
- $279.2
- User PnL
- -$64.22
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $210.91
- Potential payout
- $262
- Potential profit
- $51.09
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$10.29
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $47.56
- Potential payout
- $232
- Potential profit
- $184.44
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$8.12
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $16.82
- Potential payout
- $218.4
- Potential profit
- $201.58
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $35.73
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $50.27
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $40.4
- Potential profit
- $35.75
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $30.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.39
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
No position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Fnatic win the 2025 PGL Masters Bucharest?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will another movie gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.21
Yes position
Jumper airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.62
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$145
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 7.9% 218.4 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 57% 9.02 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 58.6% 82.94 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 61% 5 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 54.9% 1,514.59 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?No 85% 112 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes 25.1% 40.4 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 38% 39.6 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 37% 17.94 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes 36% 39.42 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 78% 368.23 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.6% 86 shares