Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$93.72
Polymarket Trader
LLDLIMITED
0x8e1f07007bd32d4df232e384df16f5ce8e981cbb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.3K
- Realized PnL
- $4.52K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $741.64
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$43.62
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $94.47
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$54.62
Yes position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $128.1
- Potential payout
- $985.35
- Potential profit
- $857.26
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $160.31
- Potential payout
- $712.49
- Potential profit
- $552.18
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.64
- Potential profit
- $308.64
- User PnL
- -$250
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.95
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.82
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.41
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.53
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.02
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.43
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.43
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.15
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.56
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $46.66
Yes position
Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.65
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.47
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $40.79
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $35.64
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.01
No position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.88
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Pimblett position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway 68% 2,181.31 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Josh Hokit 79% 283.73 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 50% 589.96 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 50% 198.1 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.6% 1,285.26 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 308.64 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane 51% 203.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 34% 14.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 35% 14.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 91.2% 2,118.38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 83.3% 319.33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 38% 700 shares