Polymarket Trader

DOG

0x8e2c7bc8725b2383163bcd3a142849aecf4c621e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $758.02
Realized PnL: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $274.74
Potential payout: $337.15
Potential profit: $62.41
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $43.36

No position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $293.54
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.55
Potential profit: $209.55
User PnL: -$149.8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$26

No position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $68.21
Potential payout: $110.01
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will either Tate brother be arrested by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$37.2

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.69
Potential profit: $50.69
User PnL: -$34.98

No position

Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.07
Potential profit: $35.07
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$9.45

No position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.98
Potential profit: $34.98
User PnL: -$24.14

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.44
Potential profit: $27.44
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $11.24
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $9.33
Potential profit: $8.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $2.39
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Pump.fun disables livestreaming by Friday?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.05

No position

Coinbase top 25 app on Monday?

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.64

No position

Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.94

Yes position

Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.2

No position

Will Laura Loomer get her bluecheck back by Friday?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.71

No position

@idrawline unbanned before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.03

Yes position

Will Coinbase announce Peanut the Squirrel as next listing?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.25

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.06

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.15

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.33

Yes position

Will David Sacks say "Bitcoin" during his February 4 presser?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.35

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.66

No position

GPT ads by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

No position

Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.53

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.08

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $27.55

No position

Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.83

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.49

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $23.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

No 99.3% 30 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 75% 70.94 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

No 67.6% 89.55 shares
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?

Yes 57% 32.55 shares
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?

Yes 54% 70 shares
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

No 59% 100.48 shares
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?

No 39% 10 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

No 69% 50.69 shares
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 36.9% 12.24 shares
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 33% 37.32 shares
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 32% 4.66 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Yes 50.1% 90 shares