Yes position
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.39
- Potential profit
- $551.39
- User PnL
- -$49.39
Polymarket Trader
Fedor08
0x8e4bce4b02b1487df42fd30129ba2a2525c3cac2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.73
- Realized PnL
- $547.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $486.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.99
- Potential profit
- $184.99
- User PnL
- -$78.94
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.35
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$72.25
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$77.65
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $87.49
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Trump visit China before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$9.62
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$36.5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will PSG beat Chelsea?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $24.44
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Yoon in jail before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.9
No position
Bitcoin all time high by July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$16.3
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $22.25
- Potential payout
- $25.72
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.12
No position
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?
Ends Dec 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.86
No position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.33
No position
North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.75
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.71
No position
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 17 at 5 PM ET?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Sporting CP 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.88
No position
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.47
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on July 7 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
No position
Lula out before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
No position
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Tsunoda position
F1 Belgian GP: Hadjar vs. Tsunoda
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes 57% 50 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 35% 150 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 70% 50 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 72% 30 shares
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under 73% 4.04 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No 81% 10 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 79% 20 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 41% 20 shares
- Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?Norris 51% 10 shares