No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $30.19
- Potential payout
- $34.9
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $16.23
Polymarket Trader
0x8e4c...8f1c
0x8e4c7ab0f43d7280e388c838bf183e3ebf058f1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $75.44
- Realized PnL
- -$14.53
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $30.01
- Potential payout
- $30.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.66
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 40% 34.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No 38.9% 38.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 96.3% 16.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 96.4% 13.49 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 96.5% 13.47 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 83% 15.66 shares
- Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No 84% 15.48 shares