Polymarket Trader

KaraThompson3479

@AnsariMyka86241

0x8e5772a60fbe7880466429c73719dfe0845b6c04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $849.84
Realized PnL: $2.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $566.1
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $453.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$260.1

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $206.39
Potential payout: $297
Potential profit: $90.61
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $28.19

No position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $28.56
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $27.44
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$16.24

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $47.09
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.17

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $47.09
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$10.61

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.82

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.65

Yes position

Will "Epstein" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $309.27

Yes position

Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $179.63

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.46

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.65

No position

Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.53

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.7

No position

Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Gauntlet" on Hot Ones?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.6

Yes position

Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.96

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.8

No position

Another US bank failure by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.4

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid position

Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.88

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.56

Under position

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.79

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.81

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

No position

Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.79

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kevin Warsh" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.56

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.14

No position

Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.02

No position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $24.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

No 80% 56 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 6% 51 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 6% 182 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 6% 204 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 6% 227 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 6% 374 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 6% 115 shares
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

No 15% 1,153 shares
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 32% 541 shares
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 57% 541 shares
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5

Under 81% 1,020 shares
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

No 67% 319 shares