Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Current value
- $81.07K
- Potential payout
- $326.24K
- Potential profit
- $245.17K
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- -$26.93K
Polymarket Trader
cocos228
0x8e5c0cc55cda93d6cae14becb3b738a44dcaa68a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $317.71K
- Realized PnL
- $639.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $65.16K
- Potential payout
- $74.47K
- Potential profit
- $9.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $13.88K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $35.95K
- Potential payout
- $39.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.22K
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $34.45K
- Potential payout
- $34.92K
- Potential profit
- $471.47
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $26.5K
- Potential profit
- $25.32K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $331.25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $26.4K
- Potential profit
- $21.53K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $699.58
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $26.14K
- Potential profit
- $24.66K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $117.63
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $1.73K
- Potential payout
- $25.94K
- Potential profit
- $24.22K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$505.87
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $25.93K
- Potential profit
- $22.99K
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $661.26
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $3.43K
- Potential payout
- $25.88K
- Potential profit
- $22.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.7K
- Potential payout
- $25.87K
- Potential profit
- $23.17K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$168.18
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $2.61K
- Potential payout
- $25.67K
- Potential profit
- $23.06K
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $859.94
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $24.79K
- Potential payout
- $25.09K
- Potential profit
- $301.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $19.29K
- Potential payout
- $22.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.31K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $15.93K
- Potential payout
- $18.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $5.18K
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $47.08
- User PnL
- $403.13
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $4.39K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $187.58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $819.71
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $696.78
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $274.21
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $133.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $577.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$94.98
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $63.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $128.46
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $177.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$322.91
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $46.67
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $98.69
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Current value
- $753.37
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $375.27
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$31.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.01K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.68K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.04K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Illegal immigrant" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67K
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.9% 6,353.9 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 71% 762.11 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 86% 3,514.15 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 69% 283.91 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?No 96.7% 191 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 88% 158.26 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 86% 192 shares
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?No 97% 1,063.54 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 69% 31.01 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 88% 6,390.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 6,374.8 shares