N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $14.94
- Potential payout
- $301.91
- Potential profit
- $286.97
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$251.08
Polymarket Trader
0x8e5c1749d8Ca7fAdFbaF1508100CADCE69BC4767-1777533840830
0x8e5c1749d8ca7fadfbaf1508100cadce69bc4767
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.94
- Realized PnL
- $65.26
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.5% 100.46 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 87.3% 90 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.4% 100.45 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.6% 11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No 95% 205.74 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 94% 195.45 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 67.1% 273.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 180.88 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 91.7% 190.46 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.6% 190.47 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 62.65 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 109.4 shares