Polymarket Trader

trumkkesan

0x8e623f17ccba2d3e0cd7b0c8e704f78a1fd5b31c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $187.82
Realized PnL: -$301.14
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $29.57
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $29.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $29.81
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $29.81
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $29.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $29.66
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.4
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Aurora position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190

Brengle position

Set Handicap: Gibson (-1.5) vs Brengle (+1.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.47

Liquid position

Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

Gen.G position

Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Under position

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

G2 position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Top Esports position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$79.91

Under position

Clarke vs. Hemery: Match O/U 22.5

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98

Under position

Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$114

Under position

Clarke vs. Hemery: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$134

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 88% 11.36 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 98.4% 30 shares
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.4% 30 shares
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.4% 30 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 98% 30 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 30 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 98.3% 30 shares
Set Handicap: Gibson (-1.5) vs Brengle (+1.5)

Brengle 50% 56.86 shares
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner

Aurora 39% 400 shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner

Invictus Gaming 6% 27.7 shares
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)

Gen.G 46% 8.47 shares