Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Polymarket Trader
departamentoin
0x8e69c7e17c87a41ea246329c1a956e4c05e4b21f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.93
- Realized PnL
- $29.18
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $954.55
- Potential profit
- $954.55
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.01
- Potential profit
- $700.01
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $189.71
- Potential profit
- $187.72
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $160.49
- Potential profit
- $160.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.18
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $134.66
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Canva IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 67% 1.49 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 47% 6.38 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 45% 24 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2.6% 38.46 shares
- Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 2.9% 68.97 shares
- NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 101.37 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 500 shares