Polymarket Trader

0x8e6EB22A04812eb482fbD63EEc06B6408EFFA9Db-1761689906043

0x8e6eb22a04812eb482fbd63eec06b6408effa9db

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.19
Realized PnL: $2.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $63.2
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $54.95
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C or higher on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.4
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.67
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.88
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$29.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.48
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $26.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $33.3
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 20?

Yes 0.1% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 20?

Yes 0.1% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?

Yes 1% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 19?

Yes 0.9% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 0.3% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 0.2% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 0.5% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Yes 16% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 20?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 21% 5 shares