Yes position
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Bartholomew
0x8e764938035a46bd150eef4b33ba003061e5c3f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $635.51
- Realized PnL
- $2.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $113.21
- Potential payout
- $113.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $53.21
Yes position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $82.24
- Potential payout
- $82.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $42.24
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.85
- Potential profit
- $49.85
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.15
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.98
- Potential payout
- $45.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.92
- Potential payout
- $39.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $29.92
No position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $37.11
- Potential payout
- $37.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.11
No position
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.28
- Potential payout
- $28.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.28
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $24.78
- Potential payout
- $25.13
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.56
- Potential payout
- $23.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.99
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.96
- Potential payout
- $22.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
SBF released from custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.81
- Potential payout
- $22.81
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $22.22
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.98
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.71
- Potential payout
- $21.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.51
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.19
- Potential payout
- $21.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.98
- Potential payout
- $20.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.11
Yes position
Will a team from China win Dota 2 The International 10?
Ends Oct 17, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1394049.40x
- User PnL
- $252.52
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6538784.51x
- User PnL
- $147.78
N
No position
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021?
Ends Mar 7, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 650057.17x
- User PnL
- $143.79
Yes position
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
Ends Oct 5, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6692579.53x
- User PnL
- $134.02
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.31
Y
Yes position
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7486162.62x
- User PnL
- $117.66
No position
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.81
Yes position
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7351303.44x
- User PnL
- $113.51
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
Ends Jan 7, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.05
No position
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?
Ends Aug 23, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.79
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup?
Ends May 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.06
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13?
Ends Nov 14, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.1
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15?
Ends Oct 16, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4095776.68x
- User PnL
- $92.07
No position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 498277.41x
- User PnL
- $91.78
Yes position
Will OpenTable’s “Seated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021?
Ends Nov 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.19
Yes position
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $40 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.73
Yes position
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.78
Yes position
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021?
Ends Sep 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 8350348.58x
- User PnL
- $74.1
No position
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?
Ends Aug 7, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.63
Yes position
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.88
Yes position
Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15?
Ends Sep 16, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.54
Yes position
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend?
Ends Aug 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.62
Yes position
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
Ends Nov 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?No 70.7% 28.28 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes 38% 54 shares
- Will Trump sue the BBC?Yes 48.6% 82.24 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Yes 91% 2.2 shares
- Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?Yes 87.1% 22.96 shares
- Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?No 72% 38.35 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 30% 3.3 shares
- Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Yes 25.1% 39.92 shares
- Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?No 73% 38.35 shares
- Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?Yes 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes 87% 45.98 shares
- US strikes Yemen by December 31?No 89% 22.47 shares