No position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.14K
- Potential profit
- $17.14K
- User PnL
- -$10.87K
Polymarket Trader
Geromi
0x8e8d8163c34d90ce063c7438637a0e5c3ffa5a27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.55K
- Realized PnL
- $66.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $116
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $124
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- $89.1
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $197.68
- Potential payout
- $209.18
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.36
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151.14
- Potential payout
- $200.18
- Potential profit
- $49.04
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $182
- Potential profit
- $181.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.26
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $170.37
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $105.18
- Potential profit
- $103.76
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $102.18
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$90.74
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $101.49
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.83
No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $92.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $82.52
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $59.25
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $51.29
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $51.92
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $51.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $43.82
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $43.89
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Yes position
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Y
Yes position
Will Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $27.82
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $27.79
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.26K
Yes position
Will Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.53K
Yes position
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
No position
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Bears position
Packers vs. Bears
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?No 63.4% 494.02 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 17.1% 103 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder 43% 100 shares
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs9z 74% 50 shares
- NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. LightningLightning 50% 5 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota TwinsToronto Blue Jays 51% 5,000 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota TwinsToronto Blue Jays 51% 800 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota TwinsToronto Blue Jays 50% 500 shares
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 99.7% 15,428.92 shares
- Final Stage: Canada vs. USACanada 2.4% 459.6 shares
- Final Stage: Canada vs. USACanada 3.7% 1,235.22 shares