Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
athene866jolie
0x8e8df2ec25c6570238c4a53fc9f0d9986fa4c61d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.11
- Realized PnL
- $16.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.5% 82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.4% 145 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.4% 11 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.4% 22 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.9% 43 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.5% 164 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.5% 164 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 4.2% 82 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98% 45 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.3% 45 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4.4% 37 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4.2% 123 shares