Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x8e92...9b2e
0x8e92042da06bd022a43b41f187be6ee580bd9b2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $85.52
- Realized PnL
- $3.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $199.83
- Potential profit
- $197.13
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $39.2
- Potential payout
- $110.43
- Potential profit
- $71.23
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $55.67
- Potential profit
- $52.3
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $10.86
- Potential payout
- $24.13
- Potential profit
- $13.27
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $19.49
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $13.02
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.47
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $8.99
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- $3.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 97.3% 1.02 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 91.9% 1.09 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 93.2% 1.07 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 91.9% 1.09 shares