Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $13.59
- Potential payout
- $42.46
- Potential profit
- $28.87
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Polymarket Trader
LastOrder
0x8ead02ce460b8173074db5f350a7d4d39ee5f333
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.78
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $21.62
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.44
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.7
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $23.53
No position
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 28% 104.67 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 25% 200 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 55% 90.9 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 72% 54.73 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 72% 30 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 61% 72.45 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 61% 81.96 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 37% 31.13 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 33% 90 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 37% 135.13 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 71% 25 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 66.1% 69.16 shares