xxgarou

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $70.99
Potential profit: $70.06
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $61.2
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $61.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $57.89
Potential profit: $57.49
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on July 3?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.18
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $53.76
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $53.9
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $42.93
Potential profit: $42.85
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.6
Potential profit: $38.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $38.27
Potential profit: $37.58
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $37.93
Potential profit: $37.65
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $34.46
Potential profit: $34.03
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.43
Potential profit: $33.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $29.89
Potential profit: $29.44
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $29.73
Potential profit: $29.42
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $29.33
Potential profit: $28.79
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $8.28
Potential payout: $28.51
Potential profit: $20.23
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $26.66
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 96°F or higher on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.48
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $19.23
Multiplier: 7.94x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $19.79
Potential profit: $19.04
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $18.64
Potential profit: $17.8
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $18.33
Potential profit: $17.14
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $18.03
Potential profit: $16.91
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.05

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET