Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $281.08
- Potential payout
- $5.62K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.18
Polymarket Trader
0x8eB1802dFBD35b8c14A41feC1E6f4C5199a485B8-1729883031433
0x8eb1802dfbd35b8c14a41fec1e6f4c5199a485b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $291.76
- Realized PnL
- -$33.11
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$337.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Cloudflare outage caused by state actor?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $690.85
- Potential profit
- $690.85
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $673.92
- Potential profit
- $673.92
- User PnL
- -$94.43
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $406.09
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.32
- Potential profit
- $255.32
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.53
- Potential profit
- $240.53
- User PnL
- -$36.08
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.28
- Potential profit
- $227.28
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.66
- Potential profit
- $176.66
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $128.5
- Potential profit
- $128.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be federally indicted by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.14
- Potential profit
- $118.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.06
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.25
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Paul position
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.23
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.99
Yes position
Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$20.77
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 14% 673.92 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.2% 2,254.23 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 6% 3,367.33 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes 3% 1,011.45 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.4% 52.9 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes 4.8% 333.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 8% 137.05 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 520.94 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 8% 10 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes 15% 240.53 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 17% 147.06 shares