No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $39.1
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $28.9
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Polymarket Trader
f23904701284124
0x8ebaace4a985659c318cfe311d5e5228ea5b6c18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $243.94
- Realized PnL
- $167.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $43.72
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $41.73
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- -$0.11
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $13.35
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.99
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Vejle BK position
Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 10?No 97.8% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?No 98.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?No 95.9% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on July 10?No 98% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 10?No 98.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?No 96% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 10?No 96.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?No 59% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 10?No 65% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 10?No 97% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 10?No 99.6% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?No 59% 20 shares