Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x8ebaFB89BB17C1B7a2663358c4A9Cc2f2CA67A23-1760641386933
0x8ebafb89bb17c1b7a2663358c4a9cc2f2ca67a23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.11
- Realized PnL
- $463.72
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $43.9
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$265.96
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.1
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $75.95
- Potential payout
- $523.81
- Potential profit
- $447.86
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$34.05
Jeremy Stephens position
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $520
- User PnL
- -$7
Tatsuro Taira position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.13
- Potential profit
- $516.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $33.72
- Potential payout
- $514.88
- Potential profit
- $481.16
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.86
- Potential profit
- $510.86
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.87
- Potential profit
- $501.87
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.8
- Potential profit
- $283.8
- User PnL
- -$56.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.76
- Potential profit
- $223.76
- User PnL
- -$37.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.45
- Potential profit
- $223.45
- User PnL
- -$8.28
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.34
- Potential profit
- $196.34
- User PnL
- -$28.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.85
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.31
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.43
Golden Knights position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.12
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.44
Alexander Volkov position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Utah position
Utah vs. Golden Knights
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.31
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 84.17 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 514.88 shares
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes 36% 11.39 shares
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder 31.3% 41.51 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)Belal Muhammad 50% 26 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)Matt Schnell 21% 104.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown 36% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 7% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 14% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 25% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp 21% 9.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETUp 11.4% 8.75 shares