0x8edc...80d8

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $31.06
Potential payout: $92.73
Potential profit: $61.66
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $90.59
Potential profit: $52.09
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $38.91
Potential payout: $87.43
Potential profit: $48.52
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $33.7
Potential payout: $85.31
Potential profit: $51.61
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $22.88
Potential payout: $83.19
Potential profit: $60.31
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $28.45
Potential payout: $77.95
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $30.37
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $28.83
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $48.05
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $25.75
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $51.12
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $34.21
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $42.67
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $30.37
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $75.1
Potential profit: $75.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $45.62
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $29.16
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $14.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $31.03
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $38.89
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $35.89
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $36.27
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $38.51
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $50.55
Potential payout: $73.8
Potential profit: $23.25
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $21.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $35.25
Potential payout: $72.69
Potential profit: $37.44
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $33.59
Potential payout: $72.24
Potential profit: $38.65
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $32.13
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $38.48
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $35.66
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $34.95
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $5.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $30.01
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $40.6
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $35.3
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $35.3
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $34.13
Potential payout: $70.36
Potential profit: $36.24
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $3.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 14?