Polymarket Trader

egas

@0xEgas

0x8ee24691a7fe68267d0108ec8d5ebde5ea39bea6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.26K
Realized PnL: $112.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $10.55K
Potential payout: $14.55K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$325.55

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $247.51

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $625.04
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $379.04
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$88.12

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $967.87
Potential profit: $967.87
User PnL: -$251.65

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $665.51
Potential payout: $782.95
Potential profit: $117.44
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.68

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $53.42
Potential payout: $305.26
Potential profit: $251.84
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.21
Potential profit: $217.21
User PnL: -$57.3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $108.92
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $50.09
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $3.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.54K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.8K

Yes position

Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39K

No position

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89K

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.47

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.29

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.6

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $650.97

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.29

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.51

No position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.24

Yes position

Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $573.36

Yes position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $546.59

Yes position

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 6,024.09 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 19% 305.26 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

No 58% 787.07 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

No 57% 899 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 61% 113.99 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 44% 1,159.63 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 26% 1,072 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 63.7% 1,486 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 63% 424.65 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 64.1% 46.44 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 67% 40.77 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 69.7% 20 shares