Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.71
Polymarket Trader
0x8ee7...4b2a
0x8ee78fdfa9af89558a740ba69cac19a26eec4b2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $27.66
- Realized PnL
- $14.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $2.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $1.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Team Spirit to win 2-0?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?Yes 49% 2.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?Yes 30% 3.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?No 44% 2.41 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?No 65% 1.65 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?Yes 42% 2.52 shares
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 16?Up 84% 1.19 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 16?No 86% 1.16 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 16?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $670 on July 16?No 80% 1.25 shares