Polymarket Trader

Th3-K1ng

0x8ef336f131b54870f088803fb680bb2fb399ac46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $499.3
Realized PnL: $1.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $587.99
Potential profit: $587.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533
Potential profit: $533
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $14.73
Potential payout: $253.98
Potential profit: $239.25
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$5.33

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $183
User PnL: -$19.89

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $150.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $29.7
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.1
Potential profit: $109.1
User PnL: -$50.08

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.65
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$40

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $9.46
Potential payout: $90.13
Potential profit: $80.67
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$40.54

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $60.32
Potential payout: $82.63
Potential profit: $22.31
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $44.4
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $35.6
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $50.07
Potential payout: $62.98
Potential profit: $12.91
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $6.96

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$36.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.67
Potential profit: $56.67
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $49.46
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $41.35
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $39.42
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $14.58
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$33.35

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $41.81
Potential payout: $47.35
Potential profit: $5.54
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.8

B8 position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$1.72

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.43

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.46

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.42

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.34

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.13

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.33

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.17

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.59

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.92

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 13% 8 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 34% 30 shares
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 0.5% 160.47 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 5.3% 259.99 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 5.5% 223.99 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 108.3 shares
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 45% 71.5 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 18.3% 170 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30.2% 108.29 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 8% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 58% 20 shares
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5.2% 300 shares