No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $148.32
- Potential payout
- $177.63
- Potential profit
- $29.31
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Polymarket Trader
0x8eF7e4dda1C8819Ebd82a98C50748f969ECa2fEd-1776956393550
0x8ef7e4dda1c8819ebd82a98c50748f969eca2fed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $556.63
- Realized PnL
- $1.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $76.9
- Potential payout
- $103.22
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $59.59
- Potential payout
- $68.11
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $47.74
- Potential payout
- $57.87
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $35.1
- Potential payout
- $55.27
- Potential profit
- $20.17
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $31.79
- Potential payout
- $54.33
- Potential profit
- $22.55
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $37.87
- Potential payout
- $43.53
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3.05
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $32.72
- Potential payout
- $41.95
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $21.93
- Potential payout
- $36.85
- Potential profit
- $14.92
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $23.35
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $23.28
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $18.74
- Potential payout
- $20.6
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.29
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.23
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.02
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.19
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.96
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.4
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $92.16
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.12
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.35
9z position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.51
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.45
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.09
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.1
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.3
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.22
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.95
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.57
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.91
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Aurora position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $14.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 83% 41.95 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 67% 19.68 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 64% 19.69 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 85% 23.28 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 63% 16.29 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 76% 27.63 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 72% 27.64 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No 76% 0.54 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No 76% 22.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No 81% 1.19 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No 75% 46.43 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 10 shares