yourfavguru

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Stefani Webb position

ITF Brisbane: Stefani Webb vs Natsuho Arakawa

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 15?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 14?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 14?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C or higher on July 15?

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Anton Shepp position

Lincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Shepp

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Maria Kalyakina position

ITF Luan: Jiho Shin vs Maria Kalyakina

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Saskatchewan Roughriders position

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Sara Bejlek position

Athens Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlek

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Prizmic position

Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 13?