Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $15.97
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
0x8f12...456d
0x8f128fedc7f28d629d91078f08fb6df516ec456d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.29
- Realized PnL
- $101.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.6%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $7.15
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $6.28
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 2 above $410?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No 69.5% 7.15 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.9% 7.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.8% 7.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 7.62 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Up 36% 7.5 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 62% 3.05 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 57% 8.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 38% 7.87 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares