Polymarket Trader

0x8f14c755Cd51e1197914962D4e0803C54A72af60-1721423955981

0x8f14c755cd51e1197914962d4e0803c54a72af60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.54K
Realized PnL: $2.37K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$18.17

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.63
Potential profit: $177.63
User PnL: -$135

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.46

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.11

No position

Trump Family launches coin by Friday?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.5

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Coach" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.75

No position

Live audience at Trump/Harris debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Context" in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.25

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.82

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Dog" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.9

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.83

Yes position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Republican position

Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

No position

Kamala announces VP pick in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night?

Ends Jul 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Kamala say "Brat" in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Kamala announce VP pick Sunday?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 43% 3,633.91 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 65% 1,538.46 shares
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Yes 2.5% 800 shares
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Yes 76% 177.63 shares
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Yes 99.1% 136.05 shares
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Yes 73.5% 136.05 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 39.1% 10,000 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 63.1% 4,700 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 63% 14,734.95 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 63% 2,069 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 62.9% 4,050 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 62.9% 5,878.16 shares