Polymarket Trader

Charrette

0x8f15c3d87569c61ea0a8abe201ea881362bbf9f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290.28
Realized PnL: -$46.35
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $432.57K
Potential profit: $432.57K
User PnL: -$487.08

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.27K
Potential profit: $15.27K
User PnL: -$15.27

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $290.28
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$29.72

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.26
Potential profit: $962.26
User PnL: -$102

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.41
Potential profit: $190.41
User PnL: -$14.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.35
Potential profit: $126.35
User PnL: -$45.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $66.65
User PnL: -$4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.44
Potential profit: $59.44
User PnL: -$19.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.47
Potential profit: $46.47
User PnL: -$4.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.19
Potential profit: $45.19
User PnL: -$7.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.91
Potential profit: $44.91
User PnL: -$9.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $40.2
User PnL: -$5.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.99
Potential profit: $37.99
User PnL: -$12.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.5
Potential profit: $33.5
User PnL: -$4.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.01
Potential profit: $31.01
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.92
Potential profit: $25.92
User PnL: -$1.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.33
Potential profit: $24.33
User PnL: -$5.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.69
Potential profit: $19.69
User PnL: -$4.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.56
Potential profit: $18.56
User PnL: -$4.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.83
Potential profit: $15.83
User PnL: -$4.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.54
Potential profit: $15.54
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.42
Potential profit: $14.42
User PnL: -$1.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $12.03
User PnL: -$5.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 4,720.03 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

No 0.1% 15,270 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 23.3% 22.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up 16% 10.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 99% 8.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 99% 8.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 3% 28.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 6% 14.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Up 21% 42.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Up 13% 20.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Up 20% 22.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 13% 13.46 shares