Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $95
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Polymarket Trader
acelerao
0x8f2031db8833c7582efe6e7bdc7cf9e46904875c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.78
- Realized PnL
- $61.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Aryna Sabalenka position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Over position
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.8%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0
9z position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.15
B8 position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.95
BIG position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.7
BIG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
N
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
MIBR position
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
paiN position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
FlyQuest position
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
9z position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.8
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
BIG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July?Yes 89% 5 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 94% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 99% 5 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No 89% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No 55% 2.97 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 94% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes 94% 5 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 91% 5 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 90% 5 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 55% 5 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 4 WinnerFURIA 46% 5 shares