Polymarket Trader

DumbMoney1

0x8f23aead02f055b69c7f7db51a2d74187bb2c7d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.65K
Realized PnL: $397.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.35K
Potential profit: $28.35K
User PnL: -$1.59K

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.47K
Potential profit: $26.47K
User PnL: -$15.31K

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.21K
Potential profit: $20.21K
User PnL: -$564.83

Yes position

Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $333.32
Potential payout: $20.2K
Potential profit: $19.87K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$846.77

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.56K
Potential profit: $19.56K
User PnL: -$342.84

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $12.69K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $169.06

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.51K
Potential profit: $9.51K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $4.91K
User PnL: -$832.61

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$443.13

No position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $439.17

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$42.93

Yes position

Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.89K
User PnL: -$404.87

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$295.52

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$323.27

Yes position

Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 22-24 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$32.55

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $269.6
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $56.76

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$101.11

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$389.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.39K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.01K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.98K

Yes position

Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.01K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.4K

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.59K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.28K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.65K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62K

Yes position

Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98K

No position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.84K

Yes position

Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38K

Yes position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32K

Yes position

Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94K

Simion position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77K

Crawford position

Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74K

Yes position

Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68K

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.38K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23K

No position

Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?

Ends Nov 2, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84K

Yes position

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 0.2% 460.2 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

No 17% 842.68 shares
Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 0.1% 366.42 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 79% 228 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 57.8% 212 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 77.8% 1,387 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 6.8% 859 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

No 22.5% 8,278 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 6.7% 2,711 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 43.4% 3,233.84 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 6.7% 5,000 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 5.8% 250.92 shares