Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $76.07
- Potential payout
- $371.05
- Potential profit
- $294.99
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$23.93
Polymarket Trader
mao0120eth
0x8f2b3de4d1c725ed83665ae1f340502cb6c8a201
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $179.08
- Realized PnL
- -$130.59
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $101.13
- Potential payout
- $215.17
- Potential profit
- $114.04
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $8.83
- Potential profit
- $8.21
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $35.82
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $26.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$14.69
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.37
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.86
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$57.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.5% 19.5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 30% 166.66 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 57% 33.11 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.8% 481.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 65% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 78.7% 81.98 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 71% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 608.1 shares