No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $101.13
- Potential payout
- $122.59
- Potential profit
- $21.45
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $10.01
Polymarket Trader
0x8F365A9fD355f8DF185B2279a2e45931de40BA57-1761471530987
0x8f365a9fd355f8df185b2279a2e45931de40ba57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.13
- Realized PnL
- $18.7
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.25
- Potential profit
- $54.25
- User PnL
- -$43.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 54.25 shares
- X banned in any European country by December 31?No 66.9% 58.04 shares
- X banned in any European country by December 31?No 81% 64.54 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.7% 332.03 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.2% 332.04 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84.1% 59.86 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 59.87 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 87% 56.43 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 79% 56.43 shares
- José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No 90% 9.4 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 84% 43 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 85% 43 shares