300PS

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $845
Potential payout: $130K
Potential profit: $129.15K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $675
Potential payout: $90K
Potential profit: $89.32K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$82.71

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $422.49
Potential payout: $65K
Potential profit: $64.58K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $206.19
Potential payout: $31.72K
Potential profit: $31.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $150.74
Potential payout: $23.19K
Potential profit: $23.04K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $163.46
Potential payout: $21.8K
Potential profit: $21.63K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $61.27
Potential payout: $20.42K
Potential profit: $20.36K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.81K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.85K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $14.46K
Potential profit: $14.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $79.41
Potential payout: $12.22K
Potential profit: $12.14K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $16.61
Potential payout: $11.07K
Potential profit: $11.06K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $77.17
Potential payout: $10.29K
Potential profit: $10.21K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.89K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.98K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: $325.53

Yes position

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $39.06
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $5.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $50.07
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $5.22K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $22.36
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $7.45

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $156.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $31.52

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $9.73
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$211.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.84K

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Magda Linette position

Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Thanasi Kokkinakis position

Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $973.91

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $957.67

Adam Walton position

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.97

Eva Lys position

Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $937.98

Moise Kouame position

Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.93

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.39

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685

Nuno Borges position

Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.37

Kamilla Rakhimova position

Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $628.78

Nuno Borges position

Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.31

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $624

Vit Kopriva position

Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet